Friday 26 October 2012

Analysts are surprised with Apple's weak margin outlook.

(Reuters) - At least three brokerages cut their price targets on Apple Inc by up to $50 a share after theiPhone maker surprised analysts by forecasting lower gross margins for the current quarter.
Apple shares edged lower 0.1 percent to$608.85 in premarket trading.
For the December quarter,Apple forecast revenue of$52 billion, below estimates of $55 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. It expects margins of 36 percent, far lower than analysts' expectations of 43 percent.
Analysts focused on the decline in margins and played down the significance of a fall in iPad sales in the last quarter, as users waited for the iPad mini, and they did not expect this tocontinue.
Apple's forecast decline ingross margin, even assuming it was deliberately aiming low, still pointed to an unusualdecline, Evercore Partnersanalysts Rob Cihra and Edison Yu said in a research note. Evercore cut its price target on the stock to $775 from $800.
Nomura Equity Research said it expected production costs to rise in the current quarter, after Apple redesigned so many of its products at once.
"The iPhone 5, iPod Touch, iPod nano, iPad mini and iMac all feature new form factors and our checks with the supply chain indicate that many of these are very complex to manufacture and are likely resulting in reduced production efficiencies," Nomura analysts said in a note as they lowered their price target to $660 from $710.
Apple heads into the current quarter after refreshing almost all of its product lines, including introducing a lower-priced 7.9-inch "iPad mini" and an upgraded fourth-generation full-sized iPad.
Apple said it expects 80 percent of revenue in the current quarter to come from new products but did not increase the product prices to offset higher costs and maintain its margins.
Analysts, however, expect gross margins to recover by June next year as rising volumes trim manufacturing and component costs.
When the iPhone 4 was launched, Apple suffered a 480 basis point decline in corporate gross marginsbut it recovered entirely within two quarters, Raymond James analyst Tavis McCourt said.
He cut his price target on the stock by $30 to $700.
ORDERS OUTSTRIP SUPPLY
Apple had struggled to deliver large quantities of the iPhone 5 since its launch in late September, with waiting times stretching at times to threeweeks in some regions.
This week, AT&T Inc blamed its disappointing subscriber growth in the third quarter on a shortage of iPhone 5, highlighting its dependence on Apple.
Apple CEO Tim Cook told analysts on a conference call that there was a heavybacklog for the latest iPhone but the company had mostly worked out kinks in its supply chain.